Examinando por Autor "Sanabria Pacheco, John Freddy"
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- ÍtemPronóstico de la cantidad de trámites catastrales de terreno que se reciben en el IGAC: caso de estudio territorial Córdoba(Fundación Universitaria Los Libertadores. Sede Bogotá., ) Sanabria Pacheco, John Freddy; Sandoval Rodríguez, WilsonThe current procedure to carry out the so-called land procedures in the IGAC territories throughout the country, fails to meet the needs of the different users to have updated information in a timely manner, since a visit to the property subject to the procedure is necessary. expensive resources as suitable professionals in cadastral issues, travel expenses, transportation and everything related to travel to the different municipalities of the country. The foregoing causes poor service and increasingly large backlogs that cause discomfort among citizens who must wait a long time to see their request resolved. Having a predictive model of the number of land procedures that are received in the entity, allows optimizing the cadastral conservation process in terms of necessary resources and incidentally directly benefits citizens with fast and reliable information since currently the Waiting times in the resolution of a request or procedure are very long. The foregoing will change the current perception of IGAC and, in general, of public institutions. The main objective of this study is to make a forecast of the number of land procedures received in the IGAC Córdoba territory, which will allow the optimization of the necessary resources such as personnel, budget, and transportation expenses to meet future demand. The type of study was retrospective descriptive, in which two types of univariate forecasts were addressed, which are the Box-Jenkins and Holt-Winters methodology, which were compared in terms of predictive capacity based on RMSE and MAPE forecast errors. . It was possible to forecast the demand for land cadastral procedures received for the first semester of 2022 with the two methodologies. The best methodology that forecasts the land cadastral procedures time series was the Holt-Winters method, which obtained the smallest RMSE and MAPE forecast errors compared to the Box-Jenkins methodology.