Una aproximación a la valoración económica del daño socioambiental del fraude de Volkswagen en Colombia (2009 al 2015)

Abstract

This paper analyzes the economic impacts, from a social-environmental approach, of Volkswagen (VW) fraud, not been determined for Colombia. For this selected the 2009-2015 period since in this the Volkswagen fraud was originated, developed and finally discovered. Fraud is not an issue that is foreign to Colombians, that is why fraud and its characteristics are defined taking into account the context in which the Volkswagen case is developed, and of course emphasis is placed on the environmental impact, and other information to approach the research and thus make the approximate economic valuation of the socio-environmental costs. A quantitative methodology was applied initially, the number of vehicles in Colombia was determined based on the VW management reports. To determine the number of tons of CO2 and NOX emitted by Volkswagen vehicles, the research was based on Thompson et.al (2014) and Oldenkamp, R. et. al (2016), additionally the social cost of carbon in Colombia was determined according to Calderón S. et.al (2015), and Márquez Díaz L., (2011), with these costs of $ 28 USD, $ 40 USD and $ 50 USD (socio-environmental damage of one ton of CO2 emitted in Colombia), was found to have a socio-environmental impact in Colombia by to Volkswagen fraud. Several scenarios were development: Scenario A. The social impact ranges between $ 17 and $ 30.5 million dollars. Scenario B. it ranges between $34 and $61 million dollars. Scenario C between $ 85 and $ 152 million dollars. Scenario D ranges between $170 and $305 million dollars. The socio-environmental implications of these scenarios are discussed