Efectos del conflicto armado sobre el crecimiento económico de Antioquia: un análisis durante el período 2002-2018

Abstract

This paper seeks to establish the incidence of the internal armed conflict in Colombia on the economic growth of Antioquia, during the period 2002-2018. This period, there were three presidential governments and a transversal fact, the signing of the Peace Agreements document between the government of Juan Manuel Santos and the FARC, in 2016. Methodologically, the fixed effects model was used, grouping in different panels variables associated with the economic growth of Antioquia and the armed conflict; five panels were built with variables associated with departmental economic growth (GDP per capita, current deficit, value of credit to producers, education test results and infant mortality rate) and a panel that included information associated with variables of armed conflict (terrorism, kidnapping, piracy rates, illegal checkpoints, harassment, institutions, subversive actions, ambushes and homicide), finding that the presence of the conflict affected the department of Antioquia, especially its GDP per capita.(apartes del texto)