Examinando por Autor "Tobón Guzmán, Juan Emilio;"
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- ÍtemDesarrollo de un modelo de pronóstico en la metodología de Box-Jenkins para la demanda de estudiantes de pregrado de la Fundación Universitaria Tecnológico Comfenalco de la ciudad de Cartagena de indias desde 2002 a 2018(Fundación Universitaria Los Libertadores. Sede Bogotá., ) Tobón Guzmán, Juan Emilio;; Lozano Forero, SebastianThis document presents an approach to the ARIMA model and the Box Jenkins methodology to estimate a license plate prediction model academics of a university institution in the city of Cartagena in its first undergraduate course It starts from a contextualization of the problem where there is a level National and regional department of Bolivar has a downward trend of Enrollment in the last 3 years. Facing this panorama, the objective is define a forecast model of the Technological University Foundation Comfenalco for its undergraduate academic enrollments in its first course. The prediction model consists of a series of 36 data that start from the semester 2001 1 to 2018 2. Once the prediction of the model has been carried out A prediction behavior with stable data for demand without showing a notable decrease in demand in the next 3 years